“The deaths are kind of reported in clumps that don’t necessarily reflect when they occurred,” said UC Irvine epidemiologist Andrew Noymer in a Wednesday phone interview. … Noymer’s colleague, Dr. Daniel Chow, also said the seven-day average is the best to use because the raw numbers tell a vague story. “The problem is you’re not going to get a real time picture in [the raw numbers], you’re just going to be seeing what’s been happening in the past,” Chow said.

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UC Irvine epidemiologist Andrew Noymer said such events will spread the virus: “Take a step back and pause for a second: What does the virus see? It just sees lots of people together who can spread it.”

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An epidemiologist from UC Irvine, Andrew Noymer, said the growth is what eventually happens in an exponentially growing pandemic, where the rate of increase is proportional to the size of the number of cases.

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Dr. Daniel Parker, an epidemiologist at the University of California Irvine specializes in mapping out infectious diseases. “This started in affluent communities on the coastal area,” Parker said. “These are people who may have had stronger ties to places in Europe that at the same time had epidemics going on.” … To help track the virus, UCI, the Orange County Health Care Agency and community-based organizations are training hundreds of people from the most-impacted communities to help trace the spread of the disease in their neighborhoods.

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UC Irvine epidemiologist Andrew Noymer said California ran into its own, very different problem than New York this spring. California locked down hard early with a March stay-at-home order, and was fortunate that the virus hadn’t already gotten the type of fast foothold it did in New York. … Now, California is desperately retrenching from it May and June reopenings. “I don’t envy the governor’s choices in California,” Irvine epidemiologist Noymer said. “The American public has shown zero resolve for shelter in place.”

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UC Irvine epidemiologist and associate public health professor Andrew Noymer said the type of growth in cases Kern is seeing is what eventually happens in an exponentially growing pandemic. The rate of increase is proportional to the size of the number of cases, he said. “The exponential growth goes up and up and up. It’s like a rocket ship,” Noymer said, explaining that cases in the last three weeks may equal the whole curve before then.

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UCI trains contact tracers to disrupt COVID-19 transmission – with an emphasis on health equity issues Someone tests positive for COVID-19. Who have they been in contact with? Who else might they have infected? Contact tracers are the health workers tasked with the detective-like role of figuring out the spread of a disease from one person to another through the community. And as the number of coronavirus cases swells, the need for trained tracers is rising.

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