Dr. Andrew Noymer, associate professor of population health and disease prevention for the University of California, Irvine’s Program in Public Health, said “things are taking a turn unfortunately for the worse” in Southern California. “Orange County has been doing well historically in the last few months, but now it’s starting to look a lot worse and a lot more like the counties it borders: Los Angeles County, San Diego County,” Dr. Noymer said. “Cases are going up, hospitalizations are going up, ICU hospitalizations are going up, mortality is going up. So even net of the undercounting, statistics are getting worse, not better.”
Andrew Noymer, associate professor of public health at the University of California, Irvine, tells Inverse that he could see parades happening if organizers take the right steps to ensure everyone’s safety. Not holding one, of course, would be safer, but there are ways to make them pretty safe. “I think parades can happen safely in times of Covid but not without some precautions,” Noymer says.
For UC Irvine Public Health Professor Andrew Noymer, passing the 10,000-case mark is only psychologically significant. “People seem to think round numbers are important,” he said. “Every case is a grim line.” There were 10,595 known COVID-19 cases in Orange County as of Monday — 269 people have died. The Orange County Health Care Agency estimates that 5,075 — about half of known cases — have recovered.
And while experts are seeing younger adults admitted, they note that it may not drive up the death rate as significantly. “The case fatality rate will go down as cases get younger,” Dr. Andrew Noymer, a Public Health Professor at University of California Irvine, told ABC News. “I don’t know if it’s good or bad — it is what it is.”
“These are people with jobs that cannot socially distance. Because if your job is welding pieces of metal together or working as a cashier…you’re not spending your day in your pajamas in Zoom meetings,” said Andrew Noymer, an epidemiologist at the University of California, Irvine.
Andrew Noymer, an associate professor of population health and disease prevention at the University of California, Irvine, said that expecting the unexpected, including abrupt shutdowns, is going to be a big part of camp this year. “The preamble should be that things can change at any time, and parents should be flexible,” he said.
This month in California, Nichole Quick, Orange County’s chief health officer, stepped down after she faced threats and protests at her home for requiring face coverings in many businesses as cases rose. The mandate, issued May 23, was softened to a recommendation a week later. Andrew Noymer, a professor of public health at the University of California, Irvine who is part of a county task force, said it was not the first time Quick had been undermined.